Ovago Vile Vile

Ow’embaliga

Rope Bridge

Origin of rules, nature of their enforcement

• Rule of law respected, independent judiciary
• Rules negotiated between key stakeholders

• Externally shaped and driven agenda.
• Arbitrary enforcement

• Expediency; arbitrary enforcement which is based on calculations around private gain
• Heavy-handed approach. Non-consultative

Boundaries of political decision making

• Strong legislature, engaged executive
• Devolution to the regions

• Highly expedient. Mediated by political and commercial interests.
• Concentrated within the executive, which maintains close links to external actors.

• Mediated by private/clique interests
• Legislature largely pliant to the executive

Global Finance

• Investments in light manufacturing and in developing agro-business and service industries

• Large quantities of FDI flow in to take advantage of liberalized regimes and newly discovered mineral resources for extraction.

• Flocks in at the beginning to take advantage of liberalization regimes in place
• As stability looks increasingly remote, investment begins to withdraw

Corruption

• Discouraged, tackled vigorously

• Rampant within corridors of power. Tolerated to a large degree.
• As national situation becomes more critical, increases

• Rampant and largely unchecked. A key driving force

Donors/Investors

• Their presence is critical to the success of the transition.
• Underwrite a number of the programmes implemented

• Donors pay for social programmes and some of the structural adjustment emerging from the liberalization process
• Investors flock in take advantage of opportunities

• Initially available, supporting social investments and infrastructure. Increasingly reduce as regime becomes less tolerant and as domestic donor concerns gain greater priority